ForexR analyst
Aisha Rahman
Global Macro Analyst
Aisha covers inflation, employment, growth and monetary policy. She explains complex releases in plain language and separates the published figures from the assumptions behind any interpretation.
- Covers
- Inflation; labour markets; growth data; monetary policy
- Editorial voice
- Thoughtful, analytical and easy to follow
- Published
- 33 analyses
Latest From Aisha Rahman
USD/CAD Range Bound as CAD Net Change in Employment Forecast NearsUSD/CAD sits in a narrow band below R1 at 1.40461 as traders await simultaneous US and Canadian labor market reports. Mixed timeframe trends offer conflicting signals.
USD Nonfarm Payrolls Preview: Asia Session LevelsNeutral Asia-session bias into today's 13:30 UTC Nonfarm Payrolls, estimate 65 versus previous 29. The four markets do not share one dollar direction.
EUR/USD Resistance Focus: EUR Retail Sales MoM PreviewEUR/USD trades at 1.12529 ahead of today's Italian EUR Retail Sales MoM release, bracketed by the daily pivot and the previous day high. The shorter timeframes point upward as price approaches the 1.12723 resistance level.
What to Expect From GBP BoE Interest Rate DecisionGBP/USD trades at 1.34874 as markets await today's Bank of England Interest Rate Decision. Technical trends remain mixed across timeframes, placing immediate focus on the previous day high at 1.35024.
USD ISM Services PMI: Key Levels Across FX, Gold, Nasdaq 100The US ISM Services PMI is due at 15:00 UTC today with the estimate at 54.8 against a previous 54.9. EUR/USD, USD/JPY, Gold and the Nasdaq 100 each sit at distinct pivot levels going in, with no uniform signal across the dollar pairs.
EUR Core Harmonized Index Of Consumer Prices Preview For EUR/USDEUR/USD trades at 1.12057 during the Asia session, showing mixed trend signals across timeframes. Today's Eurozone Core HICP data arrives with the YoY estimate at 2.5%.
What to Expect From the RBA Rate Decision as AUD/USD Holds 0.7000AUD/USD holds just under 0.70000 as the RBA decision lands at 03:30 UTC today, with the daily pivot at 0.70073 and the previous day low at 0.69929 the closest levels to price.
What to Expect From the US ISM Manufacturing PMIThe US ISM Manufacturing PMI lands at 15:00 UTC with the estimate at 54.6; EUR/USD, USD/JPY, gold and the Nasdaq 100 sit at key pivot and range levels heading into the data, with no release-day directional lean assumed.
USD ISM Manufacturing PMI: Technical Setups and Past ReactionsThe US ISM Manufacturing PMI arrives at 15:00 UTC today with consensus pointing to a 54.6 reading. In the Asia session, major instruments consolidate near pivot levels as markets prepare for the top-tier release.
USD/JPY Navigates 157.854 Ahead of Bank of Japan Rate DecisionUSD/JPY trades between the daily pivot and R1 ahead of the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision at 03:00 UTC, with trend indicators showing mixed signals.
EUR Gross Domestic Product Forecast: EUR/USD Tests ResistanceTrend signals for EUR/USD conflict across timeframes in the Asia session. Price action sits just under the previous day high ahead of key German and Eurozone growth figures.
EUR ECB Main Refinancing Operations RateEUR/USD trends lower on the daily chart as the market approaches today's ECB rate announcements. The pair sits tightly between the daily pivot and the R1 resistance level.
USD Core PCE Preview: Past Moves and Technical LevelsUS Core PCE and GDP releases print today at 12:30 UTC. Across the major pairs and indices, recent history shows typical one-hour moves ranging from 13.7 pips on EUR/USD to 68.6 points on the Nasdaq 100 following the data.
USD Fed Interest Rate Decision Preview And Key LevelsThe US Federal Reserve releases its Interest Rate Decision today, with the estimate at 4%. Ahead of the release, EUR/USD and USD/JPY are trading quietly near daily pivots.
USD/CAD Levels Ahead of the BoC Interest Rate DecisionUSD/CAD tests resistance near R1 ahead of the Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision today. The pair displays a mixed technical trend as traders navigate a dense calendar featuring both the BoC and the Federal Reserve.
AUD/USD Levels in Focus Ahead of Australian CPI DataAUD/USD trades between support and resistance ahead of tomorrow's Australian Consumer Price Index release. The pair faces immediate resistance at the previous day high of 0.70386 in a mixed daily trend.
GBP Retail Sales Forecast: GBP/USD Trades Near 1.3400Tomorrow's UK Retail Sales release arrives with GBP/USD trading between the daily pivot and R1. Mixed signals across timeframes leave a neutral bias as the market awaits the data.
GBP CPI Preview: GBP/USD Holds Above R3 at 1.33732GBP/USD trades above R3 at 1.33732 into tomorrow's UK CPI data at 06:00 UTC, with the 20-day high at 1.33864 the nearest resistance and the daily pivot at 1.3314 the level that would invalidate either scenario path.
GBP/USD Tests Daily Pivot Resistance Ahead of GBP ILO UnemploymentGBP/USD trades near 1.33113 ahead of the UK ILO Unemployment Rate data, with trend signals mixed across timeframes as price tests the daily pivot resistance.
Canada CPI Forecast Today: USD/CAD Hovers Near SupportUSD/CAD is pinned between S2 at 1.40918 and S1 at 1.41147 heading into today's high-impact Canadian CPI at 12:30 UTC, with trend signals mixed across timeframes.
CAD BoC Consumer Price Index Core ForecastCanada releases its core and headline inflation figures today at 12:30 UTC. Ahead of the data, USD/CAD trades at 1.41174 with mixed technical signals on the daily chart.
US Retail Sales Today: Levels for EUR/USD, Gold, US100US Retail Sales lands at 12:30 UTC with the estimate at 0.3% against a 1.2% prior; EUR/USD, USD/JPY, gold and the Nasdaq 100 are each testing support and resistance levels, with the dollar's broader direction still mixed across pairs.
AUD Unemployment Rate s.a. Preview: AUD/USD Near Pivot at 0.69704AUD/USD trades between S1 at 0.69552 and the daily pivot at 0.69704 ahead of tomorrow's Australian Unemployment Rate s.a., due at 00:30 UTC with the estimate unchanged at 4.6%.
US CPI Preview: Key Levels for EUR/USD, Gold, Nasdaq 100Daily trends are split across EUR/USD, USD/JPY, gold and Nasdaq 100 heading into today's 12:30 UTC US CPI release, with gold near $4,150 and the other three holding close to their pivots.