Gold (XAU/USD) Sell at market
Gold (XAU/USD) chart
Levels
- Entry
- 4,063.73 zone 4,060.03 to 4,067.43
- Stop loss
- 4,119.24 55.5 dollars from entry
- Target 1
- 4,008.22 not reached
- Target 2
- 3,952.71 not reached
- Target 3
- 3,897.20 not reached
- Filled
- 4,065.82 6 Nov, 13:01 UTC
One third of the trade closes at each target, and the stop moves to the entry after target 1.
Why this trade
This is a mechanical rule trade to sell XAUUSD at market (4063.73) based on the MACD + 200 EMA strategy. It triggers on the 4-hour chart when the MACD crosses below its signal line while both are above zero, and price is below the 200 EMA (4121.18). The daily trend points down, supporting the short bias, and the first target at 4008.22 aligns closely with the S2 support. However, the strategy has historically performed poorly on gold. The stop loss at 4119.24 is positioned safely above the daily pivot (4097.77) and just below the 200 EMA, where the bearish premise would be invalidated.
ChartPrice structure on the chart: trend, levels, volatility.
About the strategy: MACD + 200 EMA
The widely shared "MACD + 200 EMA" strategy (MACD strategies: 117 scripts, 3,803 stars in our Pine library). On 4-hour bars, buy at market when the MACD line (12, 26) crosses above its signal line (9) while both are below zero and price is above the 200 EMA; sell on the mirror image. Stop 1.5 ATR, targets 1R, 2R and 3R; the rest closes on the opposite MACD cross, or after 48 bars.
Caveat: Average per trade across the 11 instruments tested (7 FX majors, gold, silver, Bitcoin, Ether), costs included. Positive on 3 of 11 instruments (best USD/JPY +0.11R, worst gold -0.25R). Not tested on WTI or the Nasdaq 100.
The idea, explained: The MACD indicator
Timeline
- Entry filled 4,065.82
- Signal published 4,063.90
- Reason added
- Confidence scored Score 42
Proof it was not edited
When this signal was published, its fixed fields were written to a record and fingerprinted with SHA-256. The fingerprint also contains the one before it, so a change anywhere breaks the chain. You can check it in your browser.
- Hash
- 961a091acfc5f85c056b4f2a93004001c37026d43e4db4d469ad987b7093ff8f
- Previous hash
- b289944a5775b05df9643bbb95be851cb27b6f9d66ec50be7e50d589fd96ece3
Show the signed record
{"v":2,"symbol":"XAUUSD","side":"sell","order_type":"market","timeframe":"4h","strategy":"pop_macd_4h","source":"data","oco_group":null,"entry":"4063.73","zone_lo":"4060.03","zone_hi":"4067.43","sl":"4119.24","tp1":"4008.22","tp2":"3952.71","tp3":"3897.20","created_at":"2026-11-06T13:01:07Z","expires_at":"2026-11-06T13:16:07Z","max_close_at":"2026-11-17T18:04:07Z","risk":"high","prev_hash":"b289944a5775b05df9643bbb95be851cb27b6f9d66ec50be7e50d589fd96ece3"}
Risk High Risk
- Track record: flagged
Its rule was not profitable after costs in every period we tested.
- Type of trading: passed
Swing trade, not a scalping or news trade.
- News: flagged
A high-impact release is due while the order waits or early in the trade: Nonfarm Payrolls, Average Hourly Earnings (MoM), Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) on 6 Nov at 13:30 UTC.
- Costs: passed
The spread is a small share of the stop distance (under 10%).
High Risk means at least one check flagged this trade. Size it smaller, or skip it if you only follow Cautious signals. The tag was set when the signal was published and is part of its signed record.
Copy the prices
Place it yourself in your own platform. This is a practice signal, not advice. How to copy a signal
- SymbolXAUUSD
- OrderSELL AT MARKET
- Entry4,063.73
- Stop loss4,119.24
- TP14,008.22
- TP23,952.71
- TP33,897.20
This trade is already live. A new entry now would not match the published one.
Open in your platform
This trade is already live, so there is no order to place at the published entry. You can still follow it on your chart.
- Open the chart in TradingViewTradingView has no link that fills an order. Open the chart, then add the levels with the Pine Script below.
- Paste it into TradingView’s Pine Editor and click Add to chart: the entry zone, stop and three targets appear on your own chart.
Position size
lots
Lots = amount you risk, divided by the loss if the stop is hit. Contract sizes: forex pairs 100,000 units per lot, gold 100 oz, Bitcoin and Ether 1 coin, WTI crude 1,000 barrels, US100 1 per index point. Brokers differ, so check yours and adjust the contract size. Rounded down to 0.01. Position sizing explained
Confidence
The strategy's tested record on gold is notably negative, limiting confidence despite alignment with the daily downtrend.
Signals scored 40-49 have won 49% of 47 closed.
Confidence is a score from 0 to 100 given by an AI model. It is checked against how signals in the same band really ended, so treat the measured rate as the evidence, not the score. Reading a track record