Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Sell stop signal #5

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart

Bid prices from the tracking feed. Press play to watch the trade.

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Levels

Entry: 74,950.00 zone 74,891.25 to 75,008.75
Stop loss: 75,850.00 900 dollars from entry
Target 1: 73,866.24 not reached
Target 2: 71,935.43 not reached
Target 3: 70,000.00 not reached

One third of the trade closes at each target, and the stop moves to the entry after target 1.

Why this trade

Bitcoin is locked in a strong downtrend across the daily, H4, and H1 timeframes, matching a highly bearish opportunity score of -80 and headlines of major FBTC outflows. Price currently consolidates above the 75000 round number. A sell stop at 74950 waits for a confirmed breakdown of today's low at 75075.66, targeting the S1 pivot at 73866.24. The stop loss at 75850 sits safely above recent hourly congestion. This order is set to expire in 6 hours, ensuring we do not hold a pending entry into the high-impact US Nonfarm Payrolls release at 13:30 UTC.

ChartPrice structure on the chart: trend, levels, volatility.EventA scheduled economic release near the trade.NewsHeadlines that bear on the instrument.

About the strategy: AI desk

ForexR AI reads the same facts pack the analysis desk uses (chart levels, trend, volatility, the calendar, headlines, positioning) and proposes at most one trade, or none. Code checks every level before it is published.

The idea, explained: AI trading signals and how to judge them

Timeline

6 Nov, 06:35 UTC Signal published 75,568.09
6 Nov, 06:35 UTC Reason added
6 Nov, 06:35 UTC Confidence scored Score 45
6 Nov, 08:14 UTC Risk tag added High Risk, as of its publish time
6 Nov, 09:04 UTC Cancelled

Proof it was not edited

When this signal was published, its fixed fields were written to a record and fingerprinted with SHA-256. The fingerprint also contains the one before it, so a change anywhere breaks the chain. You can check it in your browser.

Hash: 435a370a3cf66873cb1d114791a874bcddf6857b7759d9f1858ef65980799759
Previous hash: a7663f9758e01905196e1341739892790738e43214d560aeff77e508ad67bc89

Show the signed record

{"v":1,"symbol":"BTCUSD","side":"sell","order_type":"stop","timeframe":"1h","strategy":"ai_desk","source":"ai","oco_group":null,"entry":"74950.00","zone_lo":"74891.25","zone_hi":"75008.75","sl":"75850.00","tp1":"73866.24","tp2":"71935.43","tp3":"70000.00","created_at":"2026-11-06T06:35:01Z","expires_at":"2026-11-06T12:35:01Z","max_close_at":"2026-11-07T06:35:01Z","prev_hash":"a7663f9758e01905196e1341739892790738e43214d560aeff77e508ad67bc89"}

Risk High Risk

Track record: passed
AI desk: no backtest, and its live record was not losing when this was published (judged after 20 closed trades).
Type of trading: passed
Intraday trade, not a scalping or news trade.
News: flagged
A high-impact release is due while the order waits or early in the trade: Nonfarm Payrolls, Average Hourly Earnings (MoM), Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) on 6 Nov at 13:30 UTC.
Costs: passed
The spread is a small share of the stop distance (under 10%).

High Risk means at least one check flagged this trade. Size it smaller, or skip it if you only follow Cautious signals. This signal was published before risk tags existed; its tag was added afterwards, from the facts at its publish time.

Confidence

Bearish multi-timeframe trend and -80 score support breakdown, but 6h expiry before NFP caps hold and raises false-break risk

Signals scored 40-49 have won 49% of 47 closed.

Confidence is a score from 0 to 100 given by an AI model. It is checked against how signals in the same band really ended, so treat the measured rate as the evidence, not the score. Reading a track record