EUR/USD Buy stop
EUR/USD chart
Levels
- Entry
- 1.11812 zone 1.11808 to 1.11817
- Stop loss
- 1.11680 13.2 pips from entry
- Target 1
- 1.11945 not reached
- Target 2
- 1.12078 not reached
- Target 3
- 1.12210 not reached
One third of the trade closes at each target, and the stop moves to the entry after target 1.
Breakout bracket
Breakout bracket: buy above 1.11812 or sell below 1.11680. Both orders were published together and the first one to fill cancels the other.
The other side is Sell stop #36 (expired).
Why this trade
This mechanical trade follows the "Pre-news breakout" strategy, placing a EUR/USD buy stop at 1.11812 just before the 10:00 UTC Retail Sales release. The rule brackets the past 30 minutes of price action, setting entries half a 5-minute ATR above and below the range. The first side triggered cancels the other. EUR/USD is currently down on the day. A bullish news spike triggering this long entry must clear resistance at 1.11909 (S1) to reach the first target of 1.11945. If the price reverses after the fill, the stop loss at 1.1168—the bottom of the bracket—will close the position.
ChartPrice structure on the chart: trend, levels, volatility.
About the strategy: Pre-news breakout
The classic news straddle. About four minutes before a high-impact data release for the instrument's currencies (US jobs, inflation, rate decisions, PMIs and the like, from our economic calendar; speeches and press conferences are left out), the range of the last 30 minutes is bracketed: a buy stop half an ATR (5-minute) above it and a sell stop the same below it, at least two ATRs apart. The first to trigger cancels the other, and each one's stop is the other's entry. Orders wait 30 minutes after the release; trades close within three hours. Targets 1R, 2R and 3R.
Caveat: Slightly positive over the last year, +0.04R per trade over 537 trades (gold +0.13R, Nasdaq 100 +0.07R, USD/JPY +0.06R, EUR/USD -0.06R), but one year is too short to tell that from luck. Fills are at the stop price; in a real release spike the fill can be worse (slippage), so the true result is likely lower.
The idea, explained: Trading the news
Timeline
- Signal published 1.11721
- Reason added
- Confidence scored Score 45
- Expired
Proof it was not edited
When this signal was published, its fixed fields were written to a record and fingerprinted with SHA-256. The fingerprint also contains the one before it, so a change anywhere breaks the chain. You can check it in your browser.
- Hash
- 1d6c86b4689eb4dcf36a3f6fe1e5bdf38e011ef43fbb24e371a57e2b885976f6
- Previous hash
- 0881f7b8ad563109f353e7669c66e0e9111e1a89def8565bf7f3fc795da789e7
Show the signed record
{"v":2,"symbol":"EURUSD","side":"buy","order_type":"stop","timeframe":"5m","strategy":"news_straddle","source":"data","oco_group":"news_straddle:EURUSD:1793959200","entry":"1.11812","zone_lo":"1.11808","zone_hi":"1.11817","sl":"1.11680","tp1":"1.11945","tp2":"1.12078","tp3":"1.12210","created_at":"2026-11-06T09:56:01Z","expires_at":"2026-11-06T10:30:00Z","max_close_at":"2026-11-06T13:00:00Z","risk":"high","prev_hash":"0881f7b8ad563109f353e7669c66e0e9111e1a89def8565bf7f3fc795da789e7"}
Risk High Risk
- Track record: flagged
Its rule was not profitable after costs in every period we tested.
- Type of trading: flagged
News trade: prices can jump when the numbers come out, and orders can fill worse than their price.
- News: flagged
A high-impact release is due while the order waits or early in the trade: Retail Sales (YoY) on 6 Nov at 10:00 UTC.
- Costs: passed
The spread is a small share of the stop distance (under 10%).
High Risk means at least one check flagged this trade. Size it smaller, or skip it if you only follow Cautious signals. The tag was set when the signal was published and is part of its signed record.
Confidence
The strategy historically underperforms on EUR/USD, and a bullish breakout would face immediate resistance at S1 against a daily downtrend.
Signals scored 40-49 have won 49% of 47 closed.
Confidence is a score from 0 to 100 given by an AI model. It is checked against how signals in the same band really ended, so treat the measured rate as the evidence, not the score. Reading a track record