ForexR analyst
Oliver Hayes
Market Risk Analyst
Oliver covers volatility, leverage and exposure. He makes risk concepts understandable through clearly stated assumptions and practical examples, giving limitations and potential downside the same attention as opportunity.
- Covers
- Volatility; leverage; position-sizing education; event risk
- Editorial voice
- Careful, candid and grounded
- Published
- 53 analyses
Latest From Oliver Hayes
Why EUR/USD Is Moving Lower in the OverlapEUR/USD is down 0.64% on the day, a drop equal to 1.1 times the 14-day average true range, and trades between S3 at 1.11259 and S2 at 1.11643 before today's Michigan release at 15:00 UTC.
Oliver HayesWhy GBP/USD Is Moving Today: Below S3, MixedGBP/USD is down 0.59% at 1.33693 in the London and New York overlap, below S3 at 1.33729. Daily and four-hour trends are mixed, so the bias is neutral.Oliver Hayes
Why AUD/USD Is Falling Today Ahead of US Jobs DataAUD/USD is down 0.8% on the day and sits between S1 at 0.68929 and S2 at 0.68573, with daily, four-hour and one-hour trends all pointing lower ahead of today's US jobs data.Oliver Hayes
Ethereum Slides 7.6% as US Payrolls Data LoomEthereum has fallen 7.6% on the day, more than double its average daily range, and is holding just above the previous day low as high-impact US labor data looms.Oliver Hayes
AUD/USD Slides Below 0.70 as Traders Brace for US Jobs DataAUD/USD has fallen 0.7% on the day, a move 1.1 times its average daily range, and now trades between S2 and S1 ahead of tomorrow's US jobs data. The daily, four-hour and one-hour trends are all pointing down.Oliver Hayes
Why Is Nasdaq 100 Down Today? US100 Drops 5% Toward S2 SupportUS100 is down 5.07% on the day and trading between S2 at 26930.4 and the previous day low at 27493, with daily, four-hour and one-hour trends all pointing lower.Oliver Hayes
Why Is Ethereum Moving Today? Asia Tape Is MixedETH/USD is at 2426.27 in the Asia session, up 6.79% on the day and 1.9 times ATR, with a neutral bias. Nearest levels are the previous day high at 2441.7 and the daily pivot at 2363.24.Oliver HayesWhy Is Gold Moving Today? Up 2.84% as Trend Signals ClashGold has jumped 2.84% to $4,041.75 on reported US election-driven dollar weakness, sitting just $2.90 below R3 resistance at $4,044.65, but the daily trend remains down and shorter-term signals are mixed.Oliver HayesWhy Is AUD/USD Moving Today? Bounce Meets Resistance Near 0.702AUD/USD has bounced back above the 0.70 level, up 0.65% on the day, but sits between R1 and R2 with trend readings mixed across daily, four-hour and one-hour charts ahead of today's US ADP and ISM Services releases.Oliver HayesWhy Is GBP/USD Moving Today? Midterm Election Headlines Drive PriceGBP/USD has pushed past its typical daily range, clearing R3 at 1.34676 during the London session. While intraday momentum points higher, mixed daily trend signals establish a neutral bias ahead of upcoming US economic data and tomorrow's Bank of England rate decision.Oliver Hayes
Why Is Nasdaq 100 Falling Today? US100 Drops 2.23%US100 is down 2.23% on the day and trading between the S3 and S2 pivots, with trend aligned bearish across timeframes and ADP, PMI and ISM Services data due before today's close.Oliver HayesWhy is USD/JPY Moving Today Ahead of US Data?USD/JPY trades lower in the Asia session as markets await high-impact US economic data and the Bank of Japan's meeting minutes. Price has breached its typical daily range, declining 101.3 pips to sit between the S1 and S2 pivot levels.Oliver HayesWhy Is Gold (XAU/USD) Jumping Today Despite the Downtrend?Gold has rebounded 2.05% to 3956.09, a move close to a full average daily range, but the daily and four-hour trend remain down, so the bounce reads as neutral rather than a confirmed reversal.Oliver HayesEUR/USD News Today: Euro Rallies 0.54% to 1.12193 Ahead of US ISM PMIEUR/USD is up 0.54% on the day at 1.12193, trading between R1 at 1.12035 and R2 at 1.1248. Mixed daily and 4-hour trends maintain a neutral outlook, with key resistance at the 5-day high of 1.12259.Oliver HayesWhy Is Nasdaq 100 Moving Today? Examining the 2% DropThe Nasdaq 100 (US100) has fallen 2.22% on the day, driving price down to 28433.2. Coverage of tech selling and AI capital expenditure fears dominates the newsflow as the index pushes deeper into support territory.Oliver HayesWhy Is Gold (XAU/USD) Moving Today: Sharp Intraday Sell-OffGold (XAU/USD) has fallen 1.84% on the day, pushing well past its average daily range. The asset sits in a confirmed downtrend across the daily, H4, and H1 timeframes.Oliver Hayes
Ethereum (ETH/USD) News Today: Down 4.3% on the DayAfter the New York close, Ethereum (ETH/USD) last printed 2255.94, down 4.3% on the day, with daily, four-hour and one-hour trends down and price between S3 at 2250.01 and the five-day low at 2275.94.Oliver HayesWhy is Nasdaq 100 Moving Today? US100 Drops on Tech Sector WorriesThe Nasdaq 100 (US100) sheds 1.82% in the New York session as concerns over tech and artificial intelligence spending hit the wires. Technical evidence remains mixed as the index tests extreme intraday ranges.Oliver HayesWhy Ethereum (ETH/USD) Is Moving TodayEthereum (ETH/USD) is at 2302.84 in New York, down 81.61 dollars or 3.42 percent, between S3 at 2285.33 and S2 at 2317.17. The daily trend is mixed while the four-hour and one-hour trends are down.Oliver HayesWTI Crude Oil (XTI/USD) Surges Past Pivot ResistanceWTI Crude Oil (XTI/USD) is up 3.92% and trading beyond its pivot ladder near $102.57, with the next round number at $103.00 in view while a close back below the $98.62 daily pivot would challenge the move.Oliver HayesWhy Is Ethereum Falling Today Under S2ETH/USD is down 93.45 dollars, or 3.78 percent, at 2377.9 in New York, between S3 at 2338.56 and S2 at 2386.25. Daily trend is mixed; four-hour and one-hour trends are down.Oliver HayesWhy Gold (XAU/USD) Is Moving Today Under S3Gold (XAU/USD) is at 4068.19 in the London session, down 1.76% and below S3 at 4079.4. The 20-day low at 4066.34 is nearest support, and the daily, H4 and H1 trends are down.Oliver HayesWhy Is USD/JPY Moving Today? Down 0.82% Under S3USD/JPY is at 156.817 in London, down 0.82% and 1.3 times its average daily range, below S3 at 157.281. Nearest support is the 20-day low at 156.356, with claims and Japan CPI still ahead today.Oliver HayesNasdaq 100 Price Move Today Stays Neutral in LondonUS100 at 29303.2 is down 523 points, or 1.75%, and one daily ATR, between S2 at 29377.9 and S3 at 29215.9. Mixed daily trend against down H4 and H1 keeps the bias neutral.Oliver Hayes