Forex Market Update: Gold and Euro Rise in London Session

Gold and the euro edge higher and WTI crude slides sharply in London trade, with the high-impact US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 15:00 UTC the next test for the dollar.

Riverfront buildings beneath a colourful dawn sky
InstrumentLastDay changePivotDaily trend
EUR/USD1.11895 +0.27% 1.11697Down
Gold (XAU/USD)3,904.28 +0.71% 3,924.32Down
GBP/USD1.34100 +0.16% 1.33975Mixed
Bitcoin (BTC/USD)78,004.26 +0.25% 77,768.96Mixed
USD/JPY157.782 +0.16% 157.451Mixed
AUD/USD0.70172 -0.19% 0.70284Mixed
USD/CAD1.39827 +0.07% 1.39681Mixed
Ethereum (ETH/USD)2,278.51 +0.25% 2,264.36Down
Nasdaq 100 (US100)28,606.7 +0.79% 28,498.0Down
WTI Crude Oil (XTI/USD)99.805 -2.23% 102.586Up
Data as of 2026-11-02 07:34 UTC.

London Session Snapshot

With the London session underway and New York still hours from joining at 12:00 UTC, the day's leaders are tilted toward havens and risk assets rather than any single dollar direction. The Nasdaq 100 futures (US100) and gold are the strongest performers on the day, up 0.79% and 0.71% respectively, while WTI crude oil (XTIUSD) is the clear laggard, down 2.23% on the day. Among the majors, the euro and the pound are both firmer against the dollar, up 0.27% and 0.16%, while the Australian dollar is the only one in the red, down 0.19%.

InstrumentLastChange %Daily trend
EUR/USD1.11895+0.27%Down
GBP/USD1.341+0.16%Mixed
USD/JPY157.782+0.16%Mixed
AUD/USD0.70172-0.19%Mixed
USD/CAD1.39827+0.07%Mixed
Gold (XAU/USD)3904.28+0.71%Down
WTI Crude Oil (XTI/USD)99.805-2.23%Up
Bitcoin (BTC/USD)78004.26+0.25%Mixed
Ethereum (ETH/USD)2278.51+0.25%Down
Nasdaq 100 (US100)28606.7+0.79%Down

Euro and Pound Hold Above Their Pivots

EUR/USD trades at 1.11895, sitting between the daily pivot at 1.11697 and R1 at 1.12035, even as the daily trend reads down and the four-hour trend is mixed. A move through R1 at 1.12035 would extend the day's advance, while a slip back below the pivot at 1.11697 would turn the focus toward S1 at 1.11252. The pair is still down 0.11% over the past five days, a reminder that today's bounce has not erased the broader pullback. How pivot points work breaks down how these intraday reference levels are built.

GBP/USD is positioned similarly, last at 1.341 between the daily pivot at 1.33975 and R1 at 1.34246, with an up-sloping four-hour trend against a mixed daily trend. A break of R1 at 1.34246 would keep the pair's five-day gain of 0.25% intact, while a return below the pivot at 1.33975 would expose S1 at 1.33619.

Gold Rebounds While Crude Oil Slides

Gold is the session's standout, last at 3904.28 and sitting between S1 at 3822.39 and the daily pivot at 3924.32, despite a daily and four-hour trend that both still read down and an RSI reading of 29.3. A close back above the pivot at 3924.32 would put R1 at 3978.60 in view; a failure to hold S1 at 3822.39 would point to a deeper leg lower, in keeping with the metal's 2.34% decline over the past five days.

WTI crude oil tells the opposite story. Price has already broken below S1 at 101.065, leaving the pivot at 102.586 and R1 at 103.607 well overhead, even though the daily trend itself still reads up. A recovery back above S1 at 101.065 would be the first sign of stabilization; continued trade beneath that level keeps the day's 2.23% slide intact.

Newsflow and What's Ahead

Gold's rebound attempt is a running theme in today's coverage, with FXEmpire pointing to fresh bargain hunting after a rough stretch for the metal and FX Street noting that Fed rate expectations are limiting how far the recovery can run. Euro-focused coverage stays cautious too, as FX Street cites policy-driven swings against the dollar and ExchangeRates flags French fiscal concerns as a drag on the currency.

The European calendar is front-loaded this morning: Spain's HCOB Manufacturing PMI lands at 08:15 UTC today, Italy's at 08:45 UTC, and Germany's at 08:55 UTC, followed by two ECB speeches from Vujčić at 09:45 and 10:00 UTC and an appearance from ECB's Nagel at 12:00 UTC, just as New York joins the session. Canada's S&P Global Manufacturing PMI follows at 14:30 UTC. The US ISM Manufacturing PMI, a high-impact release, is due at 15:00 UTC alongside the ISM's prices paid, new orders and employment components, with Fed's Goolsbee speaking at 16:15 UTC and the Loan Officer Survey out at 19:00 UTC. The guide to using an economic calendar covers how to track releases like these through the day.

Bottom Line

The dollar's picture is mixed rather than one-directional this morning: softer against the euro and the pound, firmer against the yen, the Canadian dollar and the Australian dollar. Gold and equity index futures are leading the day's gainers while crude oil is the clear laggard. With European PMI data and ECB speakers due before lunch and the high-impact US ISM Manufacturing PMI set for 15:00 UTC, the pivot point calculator can help track how price reacts against the levels above.

FAQ

What is driving Gold's price recovery during today's London session?

Gold is up 0.71% on the day at 3904.28, sitting between S1 at 3822.39 and the daily pivot at 3924.32. FXEmpire's coverage points to bargain hunting after a rough stretch for the metal, while FX Street notes Fed rate expectations are capping how far the bounce can run, though neither confirms the exact cause of today's move.

How could the US ISM Manufacturing PMI impact the US Dollar today?

The high-impact ISM Manufacturing PMI is due at 15:00 UTC, with the previous reading at 54.5 against an estimate of 54.6, alongside the prices paid, new orders and employment components released at the same time. As a high-impact US release it has the potential to move dollar pairs, though the direction is not something the data can predict in advance.

Why are oil prices under pressure while equity index futures gain?

WTI crude oil is down 2.23% on the day and has already broken below S1 at 101.065, while the Nasdaq 100 futures (US100) are up 0.79% on the day. Today's coverage does not establish a link between the two moves, and no headline directly addresses crude oil's decline.

More Analysis

Ethereum (ETH/USD)NeutralEthereum (ETH/USD) Forecast Today: Neutral Stance Amid Tight RangeEthereum marks narrow intraday gains while holding above the daily pivot. Conflicting trends across the daily and H1 charts leave the near-term bias neutral.Marcus ReedBitcoin (BTC/USD)NeutralBitcoin Technical Analysis Today: BTC Consolidates Below 76,000Bitcoin trades within a tight range just below 76,000 as conflicting timeframes and spot ETF outflows drive market caution. The immediate technical bias remains neutral ahead of the London session.Marcus ReedBitcoin (BTC/USD)BearishBitcoin (BTC/USD) News Today: Price Holds Near $75,800 in DowntrendBitcoin is trading in a narrow intraday range as moving averages across the daily and hourly timeframes signal a downtrend. On the upside, the 76,000 round level sits ahead of the previous day high of 76,300.19.Marcus ReedWeek wrapNeutralForex Weekly Recap: Mixed Closes After New YorkAfter the New York close the board was split: EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD finished below S1, while USD/JPY and USD/CAD held above R1. Five-day changes leave WTI and the Nasdaq 100 weakest, with gold still higher.James WhitmoreEUR/USDBearishWhy EUR/USD Is Moving Lower in the OverlapEUR/USD is down 0.64% on the day, a drop equal to 1.1 times the 14-day average true range, and trades between S3 at 1.11259 and S2 at 1.11643 before today's Michigan release at 15:00 UTC.Oliver HayesGBP/USDNeutralWhy GBP/USD Is Moving Today: Below S3, MixedGBP/USD is down 0.59% at 1.33693 in the London and New York overlap, below S3 at 1.33729. Daily and four-hour trends are mixed, so the bias is neutral.Oliver Hayes

Related on ForexR

Trade Your View With a Regulated Broker

Compare regulated brokers on spreads, platforms and minimum deposit.

Compare top brokers