Gold (XAU/USD) Buy stop
Gold (XAU/USD) chart
Levels
- Entry
- 4,052.88 zone 4,052.05 to 4,053.70
- Stop loss
- 4,025.76 27.1 dollars from entry
- Target 1
- 4,079.99 not reached
- Target 2
- 4,107.10 not reached
- Target 3
- 4,134.21 not reached
- Filled
- 4,052.88 6 Nov, 15:10 UTC
- Closed
- 4,059.95 6 Nov, 18:00 UTC
One third of the trade closes at each target, and the stop moves to the entry after target 1.
Breakout bracket
Breakout bracket: buy above 4,052.88 or sell below 4,025.76. Both orders were published together and the first one to fill cancels the other.
The other side is Sell stop #82 (cancelled).
Why this trade
This is a mechanical news breakout trade on Gold (XAU/USD). The rule straddles the market ahead of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment release, placing a buy stop above the recent 30-minute range and a sell stop below it. The buy entry at 4052.88 sits just above the range high (4048.75) and the daily S1 level (4048.77). The stop loss is set at 4025.76, below the range low. While this strategy has a slightly positive backtested record for gold, actual results depend heavily on the release causing a sustained directional spike, and execution may suffer from slippage.
ChartPrice structure on the chart: trend, levels, volatility.
About the strategy: Pre-news breakout
The classic news straddle. About four minutes before a high-impact data release for the instrument's currencies (US jobs, inflation, rate decisions, PMIs and the like, from our economic calendar; speeches and press conferences are left out), the range of the last 30 minutes is bracketed: a buy stop half an ATR (5-minute) above it and a sell stop the same below it, at least two ATRs apart. The first to trigger cancels the other, and each one's stop is the other's entry. Orders wait 30 minutes after the release; trades close within three hours. Targets 1R, 2R and 3R.
Caveat: Slightly positive over the last year, +0.04R per trade over 537 trades (gold +0.13R, Nasdaq 100 +0.07R, USD/JPY +0.06R, EUR/USD -0.06R), but one year is too short to tell that from luck. Fills are at the stop price; in a real release spike the fill can be worse (slippage), so the true result is likely lower.
The idea, explained: Trading the news
Timeline
- Signal published 4,044.94
- Reason added
- Confidence scored Score 51
- Entry filled 4,052.88
- Trade closed 4,059.95 Time limit reached, +0.26R
Proof it was not edited
When this signal was published, its fixed fields were written to a record and fingerprinted with SHA-256. The fingerprint also contains the one before it, so a change anywhere breaks the chain. You can check it in your browser.
- Hash
- 33dff98127e3f27964af4f1f5033024167cd47cae3e4416273800519815b206c
- Previous hash
- 11ef7e350be69da278db65b1dee87cf6a3d549cd55a612a1afe722b55b54bff3
Show the signed record
{"v":2,"symbol":"XAUUSD","side":"buy","order_type":"stop","timeframe":"5m","strategy":"news_straddle","source":"data","oco_group":"news_straddle:XAUUSD:1793977200","entry":"4052.88","zone_lo":"4052.05","zone_hi":"4053.70","sl":"4025.76","tp1":"4079.99","tp2":"4107.10","tp3":"4134.21","created_at":"2026-11-06T14:56:01Z","expires_at":"2026-11-06T15:30:00Z","max_close_at":"2026-11-06T18:00:00Z","risk":"high","prev_hash":"11ef7e350be69da278db65b1dee87cf6a3d549cd55a612a1afe722b55b54bff3"}
Risk High Risk
- Track record: flagged
Its rule was not profitable after costs in every period we tested.
- Type of trading: flagged
News trade: prices can jump when the numbers come out, and orders can fill worse than their price.
- News: flagged
A high-impact release is due while the order waits or early in the trade: Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index on 6 Nov at 15:00 UTC.
- Costs: passed
The spread is a small share of the stop distance (under 10%).
High Risk means at least one check flagged this trade. Size it smaller, or skip it if you only follow Cautious signals. The tag was set when the signal was published and is part of its signed record.
Confidence
The entry sits above daily S1, but with 93% of the daily ATR already exhausted, a sustained upside breakout may lack momentum.
Not enough closed signals scored 50-59 yet (8 of 20 needed), so there is no measured hit rate to show.
Confidence is a score from 0 to 100 given by an AI model. It is checked against how signals in the same band really ended, so treat the measured rate as the evidence, not the score. Reading a track record