Expired Sell High Risk Practice trade, no real money Bracket

Gold (XAU/USD) Sell stop

Intraday 1H setup Gold London breakout Data rules Published Ended 6 Nov, 13:00 UTC

No tradeEntry not reached in time

Gold (XAU/USD) chart

Bid prices from the tracking feed. Press play to watch the trade.
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Levels

Entry
4,035.27 zone 4,033.15 to 4,037.39
Stop loss
4,107.35 72.1 dollars from entry
Target 1
3,963.19 not reached
Target 2
3,891.11 not reached
Target 3
3,819.03 not reached

One third of the trade closes at each target, and the stop moves to the entry after target 1.

Breakout bracket

Breakout bracket: buy above 4,107.35 or sell below 4,035.27. Both orders were published together and the first one to fill cancels the other.

The other side is Buy stop #6 (expired).

Why this trade

This sell stop on Gold at 4035.27 is generated by the ForexR Gold London Breakout mechanical rule, which places orders 50 cents outside the Asian session range. The stop loss at 4107.35 sits just above the range high. Currently, the Asian range is a massive $71.08, and hourly volatility is running well above average. While the daily trend leans bearish, reaching the first target at 3963.19 requires a further $72 drop. This would push the day's total range beyond $143, almost double the daily average (ATR $84.43), making it a stretch to achieve before the trade expires at the New York close.

ChartPrice structure on the chart: trend, levels, volatility.

About the strategy: Gold London breakout

The rules of the ForexR Gold London Breakout EA. The Asian session range (18:00 to 02:00 New York time) is bracketed with a buy stop 50 cents above its high and a sell stop 50 cents below its low; the first to trigger cancels the other. It only trades when the range is at least $5 and hourly volatility (ATR 14) is at or above its 480-hour average. Orders wait until 08:00 New York; open trades close at 17:00 New York. Targets are 1R, 2R and 3R.

Caveat: 2023 was about break-even. The volatility filter was found on the same data, so it is not a clean out-of-sample test.

The idea, explained: The London breakout strategy

Timeline

  1. Signal published 4,049.80
  2. Reason added
  3. Confidence scored Score 25
  4. Risk tag added High Risk, as of its publish time
  5. Expired

Proof it was not edited

When this signal was published, its fixed fields were written to a record and fingerprinted with SHA-256. The fingerprint also contains the one before it, so a change anywhere breaks the chain. You can check it in your browser.

Hash
ec3e15add7ee75f62016d6babd8fd300d1b1dc3eb40d4b175efe7e46f0f2276d
Previous hash
b959fa473352d1e56ff3e974c4202ed9d0abf6ff1d2aa786ad4b9b34c7f8f6d0
Show the signed record
{"v":1,"symbol":"XAUUSD","side":"sell","order_type":"stop","timeframe":"1h","strategy":"gold_london_bo","source":"data","oco_group":"gold_london_bo:XAUUSD:2026-11-06","entry":"4035.27","zone_lo":"4033.15","zone_hi":"4037.39","sl":"4107.35","tp1":"3963.19","tp2":"3891.11","tp3":"3819.03","created_at":"2026-11-06T07:01:02Z","expires_at":"2026-11-06T13:00:00Z","max_close_at":"2026-11-06T22:00:00Z","prev_hash":"b959fa473352d1e56ff3e974c4202ed9d0abf6ff1d2aa786ad4b9b34c7f8f6d0"}

Risk High Risk

  • Track record: passed

    Its rule was profitable after costs in every period we tested.

  • Type of trading: passed

    Intraday trade, not a scalping or news trade.

  • News: flagged

    A high-impact release is due while the order waits or early in the trade: Nonfarm Payrolls, Average Hourly Earnings (MoM), Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) on 6 Nov at 13:30 UTC.

  • Costs: passed

    The spread is a small share of the stop distance (under 10%).

High Risk means at least one check flagged this trade. Size it smaller, or skip it if you only follow Cautious signals. This signal was published before risk tags existed; its tag was added afterwards, from the facts at its publish time.

Confidence

Reaching the target requires today's total range to approach $143, nearly double the daily average, making it unlikely before the New York close.

Not enough closed signals scored 20-29 yet (0 of 20 needed), so there is no measured hit rate to show.

Confidence is a score from 0 to 100 given by an AI model. It is checked against how signals in the same band really ended, so treat the measured rate as the evidence, not the score. Reading a track record

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