Closed Buy High Risk Practice trade, no real money

U Nasdaq 100 (US100) Buy at market

Scalping 5M setup EMA 9/21 scalper Data rules Published Ended 6 Nov, 14:05 UTC

+0.37R+28.3 points · Closed at entry after TP1

Nasdaq 100 (US100) chart

Bid prices from the tracking feed. Press play to watch the trade.
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Levels

Entry
26,983.0 zone 26,977.8 to 26,988.2
Stop loss
26,905.7 77.3 points from entry; moved to 26,983.0
Target 1
27,060.3 hit 6 Nov, 13:48 UTC
Target 2
27,137.6 not reached
Target 3
27,214.9 not reached
Filled
26,980.5 6 Nov, 13:36 UTC
Closed
26,983.0 6 Nov, 14:05 UTC

One third of the trade closes at each target, and the stop moves to the entry after target 1.

Why this trade

This is a short-term mechanical scalp buying the Nasdaq 100 (US100). The rule triggers a market buy on the 5-minute chart when the 9 EMA crosses above the 21 EMA while the price remains above the 200 EMA. The stop is set 1.5 ATR (5-minute) below the entry at 26905.7. While the index is up 1.84% intraday, this 5-minute momentum setup fights a deep daily downtrend, with the price down 7.2% over five days and daily RSI at 25.4. More importantly, backtesting shows this strategy has a slightly negative edge on the Nasdaq (-0.04R per trade over one year), meaning it currently lacks a proven statistical advantage.

ChartPrice structure on the chart: trend, levels, volatility.

About the strategy: EMA 9/21 scalper

The most common scalping setup: on 5-minute bars, buy at market when the 9 EMA crosses above the 21 EMA while price is above the 200 EMA, and sell on the mirror image. London and New York hours only (07:00 to 20:00 UTC, weekdays), at most six a day per instrument. Stop 1.5 ATR (5-minute), targets 1R, 2R and 3R; the rest closes when the EMAs cross back, or after two hours.

Caveat: One year only (the price feed keeps a year of 5-minute bars): -0.03R per trade over 1,814 trades, gold -0.02R, Nasdaq 100 -0.04R. On EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and Bitcoin the same rule lost 0.17 to 0.20R a trade, because a 5-minute stop is only a few spreads wide, so it is not run there; that choice was made on the same data.

The idea, explained: Forex scalping

Timeline

  1. Entry filled 26,980.5
  2. Signal published 26,980.2
  3. Reason added
  4. Confidence scored Score 42
  5. Trade closed 26,971.5 Strategy exit, −0.12R
  6. Trade closed 27,005.4 Strategy exit, +0.32R
  7. TP1 hit 27,060.3
  8. Stop moved to entry 26,983.0
  9. Trade closed 26,983.0 Closed at entry after TP1, +0.37R

Proof it was not edited

When this signal was published, its fixed fields were written to a record and fingerprinted with SHA-256. The fingerprint also contains the one before it, so a change anywhere breaks the chain. You can check it in your browser.

Hash
e5e4c6454ef313d3e3fc88d0825d49bcf7db0811a38d42794608260e81eb7ed6
Previous hash
d5de015bbd74d1018ca043f792c54750c879a505358d251ea53849a388574531
Show the signed record
{"v":2,"symbol":"US100","side":"buy","order_type":"market","timeframe":"5m","strategy":"scalp_ema_5m","source":"data","oco_group":null,"entry":"26983.0","zone_lo":"26977.8","zone_hi":"26988.2","sl":"26905.7","tp1":"27060.3","tp2":"27137.6","tp3":"27214.9","created_at":"2026-11-06T13:36:01Z","expires_at":"2026-11-06T13:51:01Z","max_close_at":"2026-11-06T15:36:01Z","risk":"high","prev_hash":"d5de015bbd74d1018ca043f792c54750c879a505358d251ea53849a388574531"}

Risk High Risk

  • Track record: flagged

    Its rule was not profitable after costs in every period we tested.

  • Type of trading: flagged

    Scalping trade: moves are quick, and the spread takes a bigger share of a small stop.

  • News: flagged

    A high-impact release is due while the order waits or early in the trade: Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index on 6 Nov at 15:00 UTC.

  • Costs: passed

    The spread is a small share of the stop distance (under 10%).

High Risk means at least one check flagged this trade. Size it smaller, or skip it if you only follow Cautious signals. The tag was set when the signal was published and is part of its signed record.

Confidence

The mechanical scalping rule has a historically negative expectation in backtesting and goes against the heavy daily downtrend.

Signals scored 40-49 have won 49% of 47 closed.

Confidence is a score from 0 to 100 given by an AI model. It is checked against how signals in the same band really ended, so treat the measured rate as the evidence, not the score. Reading a track record

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