Closed Sell High Risk Practice trade, no real money

U Nasdaq 100 (US100) Sell at market

Scalping 5M setup EMA 9/21 scalper Data rules Published Ended 6 Nov, 13:14 UTC

+0.30R+20.5 points · Closed at entry after TP1

Nasdaq 100 (US100) chart

Bid prices from the tracking feed. Press play to watch the trade.
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Levels

Entry
27,005.2 zone 27,000.6 to 27,009.8
Stop loss
27,074.6 69.4 points from entry; moved to 27,005.2
Target 1
26,935.8 hit 6 Nov, 13:12 UTC
Target 2
26,866.4 not reached
Target 3
26,797.1 not reached
Filled
27,002.6 6 Nov, 12:56 UTC
Closed
27,005.2 6 Nov, 13:14 UTC

One third of the trade closes at each target, and the stop moves to the entry after target 1.

Why this trade

This is a mechanical short signal on the Nasdaq 100 (US100), generated by a 5-minute EMA 9/21 scalper strategy. The rule triggers a sell when the 9 EMA (27024.6) crosses below the 21 EMA (27026.5) while price is under the 200 EMA (27032.0). Currently, the index is trading around 27005, reflecting heavy longer-term selling pressure with a 12% drop over 20 days, despite today's 1.9% intraday bounce. The trade risks 69.4 points, placing the stop at 27074.6, based on 1.5 times the 5-minute ATR. Note that backtesting shows this setup has historically yielded a slightly negative return of -0.04R per trade on this instrument.

ChartPrice structure on the chart: trend, levels, volatility.

About the strategy: EMA 9/21 scalper

The most common scalping setup: on 5-minute bars, buy at market when the 9 EMA crosses above the 21 EMA while price is above the 200 EMA, and sell on the mirror image. London and New York hours only (07:00 to 20:00 UTC, weekdays), at most six a day per instrument. Stop 1.5 ATR (5-minute), targets 1R, 2R and 3R; the rest closes when the EMAs cross back, or after two hours.

Caveat: One year only (the price feed keeps a year of 5-minute bars): -0.03R per trade over 1,814 trades, gold -0.02R, Nasdaq 100 -0.04R. On EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and Bitcoin the same rule lost 0.17 to 0.20R a trade, because a 5-minute stop is only a few spreads wide, so it is not run there; that choice was made on the same data.

The idea, explained: Forex scalping

Timeline

  1. Entry filled 27,002.6
  2. Signal published 27,006.5
  3. Reason added
  4. Confidence scored Score 42
  5. TP1 hit 26,935.8
  6. Stop moved to entry 27,005.2
  7. Trade closed 27,005.2 Closed at entry after TP1, +0.30R

Proof it was not edited

When this signal was published, its fixed fields were written to a record and fingerprinted with SHA-256. The fingerprint also contains the one before it, so a change anywhere breaks the chain. You can check it in your browser.

Hash
b289944a5775b05df9643bbb95be851cb27b6f9d66ec50be7e50d589fd96ece3
Previous hash
e1b852e9818131d537da55770437acaf8e3144fafbedefe877cb8d7e4bf0bbb8
Show the signed record
{"v":2,"symbol":"US100","side":"sell","order_type":"market","timeframe":"5m","strategy":"scalp_ema_5m","source":"data","oco_group":null,"entry":"27005.2","zone_lo":"27000.6","zone_hi":"27009.8","sl":"27074.6","tp1":"26935.8","tp2":"26866.4","tp3":"26797.1","created_at":"2026-11-06T12:56:02Z","expires_at":"2026-11-06T13:11:02Z","max_close_at":"2026-11-06T14:56:02Z","risk":"high","prev_hash":"e1b852e9818131d537da55770437acaf8e3144fafbedefe877cb8d7e4bf0bbb8"}

Risk High Risk

  • Track record: flagged

    Its rule was not profitable after costs in every period we tested.

  • Type of trading: flagged

    Scalping trade: moves are quick, and the spread takes a bigger share of a small stop.

  • News: flagged

    A high-impact release is due while the order waits or early in the trade: Nonfarm Payrolls, Average Hourly Earnings (MoM), Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) on 6 Nov at 13:30 UTC.

  • Costs: passed

    The spread is a small share of the stop distance (under 10%).

High Risk means at least one check flagged this trade. Size it smaller, or skip it if you only follow Cautious signals. The tag was set when the signal was published and is part of its signed record.

Confidence

The strategy's tested record indicates a negative historical expectancy of -0.04R per trade on this instrument.

Signals scored 40-49 have won 49% of 47 closed.

Confidence is a score from 0 to 100 given by an AI model. It is checked against how signals in the same band really ended, so treat the measured rate as the evidence, not the score. Reading a track record

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