EUR/USD Sell stop
EUR/USD chart
Levels
- Entry
- 1.11620 zone 1.11608 to 1.11632
- Stop loss
- 1.11790 17 pips from entry; moved to 1.11620
- Target 1
- 1.11450 hit 6 Nov, 14:00 UTC
- Target 2
- 1.11260 not reached
- Target 3
- 1.11050 not reached
- Filled
- 1.11620 6 Nov, 13:10 UTC
- Closed
- 1.11485 6 Nov, 16:32 UTC
One third of the trade closes at each target, and the stop moves to the entry after target 1.
Why this trade
This pending sell stop order anticipates a stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls report (forecast 65, previous 29) and Average Hourly Earnings (estimate 0.3% MoM). If job creation and wage growth exceed expectations, the US Dollar should strengthen, driving EUR/USD lower. The entry at 1.11620 is placed below the pre-release consolidation, the daily low of 1.11668, and the S2 support level at 1.11643 to catch downside momentum. The stop loss at 1.11790 rests above recent 15-minute highs to protect against a weak data print or a whipsaw reversal.
ChartPrice structure on the chart: trend, levels, volatility.EventA scheduled economic release near the trade.
About the strategy: AI news desk
Twenty to sixty minutes before each high-impact release, ForexR AI reads the release (forecast and previous figure), 15-minute and 1-hour bars and the facts pack, and plans at most one trade per instrument for after the numbers: a pending order that waits for the release, or no trade. Code checks every level against the 1-hour ATR before it is published.
The idea, explained: Trading the news
Timeline
- Signal published 1.11730
- Reason added
- Confidence scored Score 42
- Entry filled 1.11620
- TP1 hit 1.11450
- Stop moved to entry 1.11620
- Trade closed 1.11485 Time limit reached, +0.86R
Proof it was not edited
When this signal was published, its fixed fields were written to a record and fingerprinted with SHA-256. The fingerprint also contains the one before it, so a change anywhere breaks the chain. You can check it in your browser.
- Hash
- b24fe735ae56b45cf6b9c86c9cdd78cc8703b18b0127630a9f32c9dc2e82f756
- Previous hash
- f16dd75d2003f8f8994dd743a84b162dfbe62e0e6644c96d10d59379e37b9dea
Show the signed record
{"v":2,"symbol":"EURUSD","side":"sell","order_type":"stop","timeframe":"15m","strategy":"ai_news","source":"ai","oco_group":null,"entry":"1.11620","zone_lo":"1.11608","zone_hi":"1.11632","sl":"1.11790","tp1":"1.11450","tp2":"1.11260","tp3":"1.11050","created_at":"2026-11-06T12:31:03Z","expires_at":"2026-11-06T14:31:03Z","max_close_at":"2026-11-06T16:31:03Z","risk":"high","prev_hash":"f16dd75d2003f8f8994dd743a84b162dfbe62e0e6644c96d10d59379e37b9dea"}
Risk High Risk
- Track record: passed
AI desk: no backtest, and its live record was not losing when this was published (judged after 20 closed trades).
- Type of trading: flagged
News trade: prices can jump when the numbers come out, and orders can fill worse than their price.
- News: flagged
A high-impact release is due while the order waits or early in the trade: Nonfarm Payrolls, Average Hourly Earnings (MoM), Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) on 6 Nov at 13:30 UTC.
- Costs: passed
The spread is a small share of the stop distance (under 10%).
High Risk means at least one check flagged this trade. Size it smaller, or skip it if you only follow Cautious signals. The tag was set when the signal was published and is part of its signed record.
Confidence
Untested pre-NFP sell stop: daily downtrend helps, but a 17-pip stop is tight versus payrolls volatility.
Signals scored 40-49 have won 49% of 47 closed.
Confidence is a score from 0 to 100 given by an AI model. It is checked against how signals in the same band really ended, so treat the measured rate as the evidence, not the score. Reading a track record