Gold (XAU/USD) Sell at market
Gold (XAU/USD) chart
Levels
- Entry
- 4,065.83 zone 4,065.44 to 4,066.22
- Stop loss
- 4,071.65 5.8 dollars from entry; moved to 4,065.83
- Target 1
- 4,060.01 hit 6 Nov, 13:03 UTC
- Target 2
- 4,054.19 not reached
- Target 3
- 4,048.37 not reached
- Filled
- 4,065.75 6 Nov, 12:36 UTC
- Closed
- 4,065.83 6 Nov, 13:21 UTC
One third of the trade closes at each target, and the stop moves to the entry after target 1.
Why this trade
This short on Gold (XAU/USD) is generated by a mechanical rule: it sells when the 5-minute 9 EMA crosses below the 21 EMA while price is under the 200 EMA. The entry is at market near 4065.83. The strategy targets a 1:1 reward-to-risk ratio at 4060.01 initially, with further targets up to 3R. The tested record for this 5-minute scalping rule on Gold is slightly negative. In the current context, the short opposes the 4-hour uptrend, and price approaches near-term support at the previous day's low of 4057.74. The trade is invalidated if price reverses and hits the 1.5 ATR stop loss at 4071.65.
ChartPrice structure on the chart: trend, levels, volatility.
About the strategy: EMA 9/21 scalper
The most common scalping setup: on 5-minute bars, buy at market when the 9 EMA crosses above the 21 EMA while price is above the 200 EMA, and sell on the mirror image. London and New York hours only (07:00 to 20:00 UTC, weekdays), at most six a day per instrument. Stop 1.5 ATR (5-minute), targets 1R, 2R and 3R; the rest closes when the EMAs cross back, or after two hours.
Caveat: One year only (the price feed keeps a year of 5-minute bars): -0.03R per trade over 1,814 trades, gold -0.02R, Nasdaq 100 -0.04R. On EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY and Bitcoin the same rule lost 0.17 to 0.20R a trade, because a 5-minute stop is only a few spreads wide, so it is not run there; that choice was made on the same data.
The idea, explained: Forex scalping
Timeline
- Entry filled 4,065.75
- Signal published 4,065.82
- Reason added
- Confidence scored Score 46
- TP1 hit 4,060.01
- Stop moved to entry 4,065.83
- Trade closed 4,065.83 Closed at entry after TP1, +0.32R
Proof it was not edited
When this signal was published, its fixed fields were written to a record and fingerprinted with SHA-256. The fingerprint also contains the one before it, so a change anywhere breaks the chain. You can check it in your browser.
- Hash
- f16dd75d2003f8f8994dd743a84b162dfbe62e0e6644c96d10d59379e37b9dea
- Previous hash
- 55860416a1d0cb4f09b0f5e857435d9dbd4c15bfef2e026a1288ce608c3633c6
Show the signed record
{"v":2,"symbol":"XAUUSD","side":"sell","order_type":"market","timeframe":"5m","strategy":"scalp_ema_5m","source":"data","oco_group":null,"entry":"4065.83","zone_lo":"4065.44","zone_hi":"4066.22","sl":"4071.65","tp1":"4060.01","tp2":"4054.19","tp3":"4048.37","created_at":"2026-11-06T12:36:01Z","expires_at":"2026-11-06T12:51:01Z","max_close_at":"2026-11-06T14:36:01Z","risk":"high","prev_hash":"55860416a1d0cb4f09b0f5e857435d9dbd4c15bfef2e026a1288ce608c3633c6"}
Risk High Risk
- Track record: flagged
Its rule was not profitable after costs in every period we tested.
- Type of trading: flagged
Scalping trade: moves are quick, and the spread takes a bigger share of a small stop.
- News: flagged
A high-impact release is due while the order waits or early in the trade: Nonfarm Payrolls, Average Hourly Earnings (MoM), Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) on 6 Nov at 13:30 UTC.
- Costs: passed
The spread is a small share of the stop distance (under 10%).
High Risk means at least one check flagged this trade. Size it smaller, or skip it if you only follow Cautious signals. The tag was set when the signal was published and is part of its signed record.
Confidence
The strategy has a negative historical edge on Gold, and the short signal opposes the established uptrend on the 4-hour timeframe.
Signals scored 40-49 have won 49% of 47 closed.
Confidence is a score from 0 to 100 given by an AI model. It is checked against how signals in the same band really ended, so treat the measured rate as the evidence, not the score. Reading a track record