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Waiting for entry Sell High Risk Practice trade, no real money

Ethereum (ETH/USD) Sell limit

Intraday 1H setup SMC fair value gap Data rules Published Expires in 34 min

Not filled yetentry sell at 2,238.81 or higher
Price now2,230.67

Ethereum (ETH/USD) chart

Bid prices from the tracking feed
Loading chartChart data is unavailable right now

Levels

Entry
2,238.81 zone 2,237.78 to 2,239.83
Stop loss
2,243.93 5.1 dollars from entry
Target 1
2,233.69 not reached
Target 2
2,228.57 not reached
Target 3
2,223.44 not reached

One third of the trade closes at each target, and the stop moves to the entry after target 1.

Why this trade

This is a mechanical limit short on Ethereum, driven by a Smart Money Concepts fair value gap rule. It sets a sell limit at 2238.81, the midpoint of a recent 1-hour bearish gap, requiring the 4-hour 50 EMA to be falling. The broader daily and 4-hour trends do align with this bearish bias, as Ethereum trades well below its moving averages. However, the strategy has historically shown a negative expectancy across tested assets. Additionally, the stop loss at 2243.93 is tight and sits unprotected below the nearest major resistance at the previous day's high of 2250.35, increasing the risk of a premature exit.

ChartPrice structure on the chart: trend, levels, volatility.

About the strategy: SMC fair value gap

Fair value gaps are the core of the ICT / Smart Money Concepts style, the most actively maintained family in our libraries (for example the FVG Gold EA and ICT Gold EA, both updated in 2025-26). On 1-hour bars, a bullish gap is a candle whose low sits above the high from two candles earlier, at least 0.3 ATR tall, while the 4-hour 50 EMA is rising: a buy limit waits at the middle of the gap for 6 hours, with the stop just under the gap. Bearish gaps mirror it. Targets 1R, 2R and 3R; max 48 hours.

Caveat: Average per trade across the 11 instruments tested (7 FX majors, gold, silver, Bitcoin, Ether), costs included. Negative on all 11 instruments tested. Hourly bars cannot show whether a target was touched before the limit filled, so the test gave no credit for that; the true figure may be a little better. Not tested on WTI or the Nasdaq 100.

The idea, explained: Fair value gaps

Timeline

  1. Signal published 2,231.90
  2. Reason added
  3. Confidence scored Score 42

Proof it was not edited

When this signal was published, its fixed fields were written to a record and fingerprinted with SHA-256. The fingerprint also contains the one before it, so a change anywhere breaks the chain. You can check it in your browser.

Hash
d55563f98d08d6aa31e7763833f04602e72648cb99d9c6cd9c9ac3510b72675d
Previous hash
cd8adab383c7dcfab19a2a71dffa684b1af984171b4ebf04aa5234a9cdc65377
Show the signed record
{"v":2,"symbol":"ETHUSD","side":"sell","order_type":"limit","timeframe":"1h","strategy":"pop_fvg_1h","source":"data","oco_group":null,"entry":"2238.81","zone_lo":"2237.78","zone_hi":"2239.83","sl":"2243.93","tp1":"2233.69","tp2":"2228.57","tp3":"2223.44","created_at":"2026-11-07T17:01:06Z","expires_at":"2026-11-07T23:01:06Z","max_close_at":"2026-11-09T23:01:06Z","risk":"high","prev_hash":"cd8adab383c7dcfab19a2a71dffa684b1af984171b4ebf04aa5234a9cdc65377"}

Risk High Risk

  • Track record: flagged

    Its rule was not profitable after costs in every period we tested.

  • Type of trading: passed

    Intraday trade, not a scalping or news trade.

  • News: passed

    No high-impact release was due while the order waits or in its first 4 hours.

  • Costs: flagged

    The spread is 49% of the stop distance (above 10%), so trading costs take a big share.

High Risk means at least one check flagged this trade. Size it smaller, or skip it if you only follow Cautious signals. The tag was set when the signal was published and is part of its signed record.

Copy the prices

Place it yourself in your own platform. This is a practice signal, not advice. How to copy a signal

  • SymbolETHUSD
  • OrderSELL LIMIT
  • Entry2,238.81
  • Stop loss2,243.93
  • TP12,233.69
  • TP22,228.57
  • TP32,223.44

Open in your platform

  • Open in cTraderOpens cTrader’s order screen already filled with this order, its stop, TP1 and expiry (TP2 and TP3 are in the comment). You check it and press Place order.
  • Copy levels and open MetaTrader 5Copies the levels, then opens the MetaTrader 5 app’s order screen for ETHUSD on your phone or tablet. MetaTrader links cannot carry prices, so paste or type them. Your broker may name the symbol differently.
  • Copy levels and open MetaTrader 4The same for the MetaTrader 4 app. MetaQuotes does not document this link, so it may not work in every version.
  • Open the chart in TradingViewTradingView has no link that fills an order. Open the chart, then add the levels with the Pine Script below.
  • Paste it into TradingView’s Pine Editor and click Add to chart: the entry zone, stop and three targets appear on your own chart.

Position size

lots

Lots = amount you risk, divided by the loss if the stop is hit. Contract sizes: forex pairs 100,000 units per lot, gold 100 oz, Bitcoin and Ether 1 coin, WTI crude 1,000 barrels, US100 1 per index point. Brokers differ, so check yours and adjust the contract size. Rounded down to 0.01. Position sizing explained

Confidence

The strategy has a poor historical record, and the tight stop sits exposed just below the previous day's high.

Signals scored 40-49 have won 49% of 47 closed.

Confidence is a score from 0 to 100 given by an AI model. It is checked against how signals in the same band really ended, so treat the measured rate as the evidence, not the score. Reading a track record

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