Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Sell limit
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart
Levels
- Entry
- 75,760.07 zone 75,734.59 to 75,785.55
- Stop loss
- 75,887.48 127.4 dollars from entry; moved to 75,760.07
- Target 1
- 75,632.66 hit 7 Nov, 20:34 UTC
- Target 2
- 75,505.25 hit 7 Nov, 20:52 UTC
- Target 3
- 75,377.84 not reached
- Filled
- 75,760.07 7 Nov, 17:37 UTC
One third of the trade closes at each target, and the stop moves to the entry after target 1.
Why this trade
This is a mechanical short on BTC/USD, placing a sell limit at 75760.07. The signal is generated by a Smart Money Concepts rule that identifies a bearish 1-hour fair value gap (between 75709.67 and 75810.47) aligning with a declining 4-hour 50 EMA. The entry is set near the middle of the gap. The broader context supports a bearish bias, as Bitcoin's daily and 4-hour trends are down. The trade is invalidated if price pushes through the stop loss at 75887.48, placed just above the top of the identified gap.
ChartPrice structure on the chart: trend, levels, volatility.
About the strategy: SMC fair value gap
Fair value gaps are the core of the ICT / Smart Money Concepts style, the most actively maintained family in our libraries (for example the FVG Gold EA and ICT Gold EA, both updated in 2025-26). On 1-hour bars, a bullish gap is a candle whose low sits above the high from two candles earlier, at least 0.3 ATR tall, while the 4-hour 50 EMA is rising: a buy limit waits at the middle of the gap for 6 hours, with the stop just under the gap. Bearish gaps mirror it. Targets 1R, 2R and 3R; max 48 hours.
Caveat: Average per trade across the 11 instruments tested (7 FX majors, gold, silver, Bitcoin, Ether), costs included. Negative on all 11 instruments tested. Hourly bars cannot show whether a target was touched before the limit filled, so the test gave no credit for that; the true figure may be a little better. Not tested on WTI or the Nasdaq 100.
The idea, explained: Fair value gaps
Timeline
- Signal published 75,682.13
- Reason added
- Confidence scored Score 30
- Entry filled 75,760.07
- TP1 hit 75,632.66
- Stop moved to entry 75,760.07
- TP2 hit 75,505.25
Proof it was not edited
When this signal was published, its fixed fields were written to a record and fingerprinted with SHA-256. The fingerprint also contains the one before it, so a change anywhere breaks the chain. You can check it in your browser.
- Hash
- cd8adab383c7dcfab19a2a71dffa684b1af984171b4ebf04aa5234a9cdc65377
- Previous hash
- 18036fe4f7b9271c2152e27e7fa15d60a677094471e25115fd07ea7216c770fd
Show the signed record
{"v":2,"symbol":"BTCUSD","side":"sell","order_type":"limit","timeframe":"1h","strategy":"pop_fvg_1h","source":"data","oco_group":null,"entry":"75760.07","zone_lo":"75734.59","zone_hi":"75785.55","sl":"75887.48","tp1":"75632.66","tp2":"75505.25","tp3":"75377.84","created_at":"2026-11-07T17:01:06Z","expires_at":"2026-11-07T23:01:06Z","max_close_at":"2026-11-09T23:01:06Z","risk":"high","prev_hash":"18036fe4f7b9271c2152e27e7fa15d60a677094471e25115fd07ea7216c770fd"}
Risk High Risk
- Track record: flagged
Its rule was not profitable after costs in every period we tested.
- Type of trading: passed
Intraday trade, not a scalping or news trade.
- News: passed
No high-impact release was due while the order waits or in its first 4 hours.
- Costs: flagged
The spread is 24% of the stop distance (above 10%), so trading costs take a big share.
High Risk means at least one check flagged this trade. Size it smaller, or skip it if you only follow Cautious signals. The tag was set when the signal was published and is part of its signed record.
Copy the prices
Place it yourself in your own platform. This is a practice signal, not advice. How to copy a signal
- SymbolBTCUSD
- OrderSELL LIMIT
- Entry75,760.07
- Stop loss75,760.07
- TP175,632.66
- TP275,505.25
- TP375,377.84
This trade is already live. A new entry now would not match the published one.
Open in your platform
This trade is already live, so there is no order to place at the published entry. You can still follow it on your chart.
- Open the chart in TradingViewTradingView has no link that fills an order. Open the chart, then add the levels with the Pine Script below.
- Paste it into TradingView’s Pine Editor and click Add to chart: the entry zone, stop and three targets appear on your own chart.
Position size
lots
Lots = amount you risk, divided by the loss if the stop is hit. Contract sizes: forex pairs 100,000 units per lot, gold 100 oz, Bitcoin and Ether 1 coin, WTI crude 1,000 barrels, US100 1 per index point. Brokers differ, so check yours and adjust the contract size. Rounded down to 0.01. Position sizing explained
Confidence
The strategy has a consistently negative tested record across all instruments, significantly reducing the likelihood of a successful outcome.
Not enough closed signals scored 30-39 yet (16 of 20 needed), so there is no measured hit rate to show.
Confidence is a score from 0 to 100 given by an AI model. It is checked against how signals in the same band really ended, so treat the measured rate as the evidence, not the score. Reading a track record