What levels would confirm continuation or a fade on Nasdaq 100 (US100) today?

Continuation would need a break above R1 at 30644.2, which would open R2 at 30834.1. A fade would need a break of S1 at 30251.1 toward S2 at 30047.9. The daily pivot at 30441 invalidates both scenarios.

What US releases are on the Nasdaq 100 calendar today?

ISM Manufacturing PMI is today at 14:00 UTC, previous 54.6, estimate 55, with prices paid, new orders, employment and Fed's Waller in the same window. Fed's Jefferson speaks today at 17:30 UTC, Bowman at 19:00 UTC, and Williams and Cook at 19:30 UTC.

Are Nasdaq 100 daily, H4 and H1 trends in agreement?

Yes. Daily, H4 and H1 trends all read up, with last price at 30602.2 above the daily EMA200 at 27657.8. Daily RSI is 60.8.

When is Nonfarm Payrolls relative to this Nasdaq 100 session?

Nonfarm Payrolls is tomorrow at 12:30 UTC, previous 162, estimate 90, alongside the unemployment rate and average hourly earnings. It is not on today's docket.

Nasdaq 100 (US100) forecast today: uptrend holds into ISM

Daily outlook Bullish bias Oct 1, 2026, 12:48 UTC

Nathan BrooksUS Markets & Federal Reserve Analyst · ForexR analyst

Nasdaq 100 (US100) is at 30602.2, up 0.49%, with daily, H4 and H1 trends all up. R1 at 30644.2 is the bullish trigger toward R2 at 30834.1; S1 at 30251.1 is the bearish trigger toward S2 at 30047.9.

Financial analysts near multi monitor workstation using tablet device to analyze capital profit risks. Hedge f

Price30,602.2

Day change+0.49%

Day range30,414.3 - 30,878.6

ATR (14)445.2

Resistance	Level	Support	Level
R3	31,037.3	S1	30,251.1
R2	30,834.1	S2	30,047.9
R1	30,644.2	S3	29,858.0
Previous day high	30,630.9	Previous day low	30,237.8
20-day high	30,795.1	20-day low	28,744.6
Daily pivot 30,441.0. Data as of 2026-10-01 12:42 UTC; price from a live feed, levels computed from the previous completed daily bar.

Nasdaq 100 (US100) 1-hour chart with the daily pivot at 30,441.0, R1 30,644.2, R2 30,834.1, S1 30,251.1, S2 30,047.9 and the bullish and bearish scenario paths — Nasdaq 100 (US100), 1-hour candles with the daily pivot levels, the range between nearest support and resistance, and both scenario paths. Data as of 2026-10-01 12:42 UTC.

Where Nasdaq 100 (US100) stands now

Nasdaq 100 (US100) last prints at 30602.2 in the London and New York overlap, up 147.9 or 0.49% from the previous close at 30454.3. Evidence leans higher: daily, H4 and H1 trends are all up, and the level that matters most is R1 at 30644.2.

The session shows a day high at 30878.6, a day low at 30414.3 and a day open at 30441.8. The day range of 464.3 points is 104% of the 14-period ATR at 445.2. Last price is 28.7 points from the previous day high at 30630.9 and 161.2 points from the daily pivot at 30441.

Trend and momentum

Daily trend is up, with last price above the EMA20 at 29952.2, the EMA50 at 29582.2 and the EMA200 at 27657.8. H4 trend is up, with the EMA20 at 30474.8 and the EMA50 at 30316.4. H1 trend is up, with the EMA20 at 30586.2 and the EMA50 at 30501.4.

The three timeframes agree. Daily RSI stands at 60.8. Five-day performance is up 0.41%. Twenty-day performance is up 5.11%.

Levels that matter

Nearest resistance is the previous day high at 30630.9, 28.7 points away. Nearest support is the daily pivot at 30441, 161.2 points away.

The classic daily pivots put R1 at 30644.2, R2 at 30834.1 and R3 at 31037.3, with S1 at 30251.1, S2 at 30047.9 and S3 at 29858. Yesterday's high is 30630.9 and yesterday's low is 30237.8.

The five-day high is 30715.3 and the five-day low is 30076.2. The twenty-day high is 30795.1 and the twenty-day low is 28744.6. Round resistance is 31000. Round support is 30000.

The day high at 30878.6 sits above the twenty-day high at 30795.1 and above R2 at 30834.1, while last price remains below the previous day high at 30630.9.

Bullish scenario and bearish scenario

A break above R1 at 30644.2 would open the way to R2 at 30834.1, 189.9 points from trigger to target. A move back below the daily pivot at 30441 would invalidate that view.

If US100 loses S1 at 30251.1, S2 at 30047.9 comes into range, 203.2 points from that trigger. Strength back through the daily pivot at 30441 would invalidate the bearish case.

What could move it today

ISM Manufacturing PMI prints today at 14:00 UTC, previous 54.6, estimate 55. The same 14:00 UTC window on the economic calendar also carries ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid (previous 71.1, estimate 72.3), ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index (previous 53.7), ISM Manufacturing Employment Index (previous 51.2) and Fed's Waller speech.

Fed's Jefferson speech is today at 17:30 UTC. Fed's Bowman speech is today at 19:00 UTC. Fed's Williams speech and Fed's Cook speech are today at 19:30 UTC. Tomorrow at 12:30 UTC the docket includes Nonfarm Payrolls (previous 162, estimate 90), Unemployment Rate (previous 4.1, estimate 4.1), Average Hourly Earnings MoM (previous 0.3, estimate 0.3), Average Hourly Earnings YoY (previous 3.1) and U6 Underemployment Rate (previous 7.7).

According to Invezz, WSJ and FXEmpire, coverage has clustered around a firm Nasdaq futures tone, technology names against a softer broader market, and Treasury yields.

News sentiment is 67% bullish and 33% bearish, with media mood at 100 and news volume at 92% of the 90-day average. The opportunity read is bullish at 26.

As of the week to September 22, large speculators were net long Nasdaq 100 (US100), and speculators added to net long Nasdaq 100 (US100). Speculators were 73.2% long and 26.8% short, with a net of 56150 contracts versus 33718 the prior week.

At the September 30 close, the 2-year Treasury yield was at 4.88%, down 1 basis point, and the 10-year yield was at 5.29%, up 3 basis points. The 3-month yield was 4.2% and the 2-year/10-year curve was 41 basis points.

Bottom line

Nasdaq 100 (US100) holds 30602.2, up 0.49%, with all three timeframes in an uptrend and R1 at 30644.2 the bullish trigger. Today's ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC and the Fed speaking slate still sit ahead in this London and New York overlap. A break above R1 at 30644.2 would open the way to R2 at 30834.1; a break of S1 at 30251.1 would open S2 at 30047.9, and the daily pivot at 30441 invalidates both setups.