Nasdaq 100 (US100) Price Prediction Today

Daily outlook Neutral bias Sep 25, 2026, 12:18 UTC

Nathan BrooksUS Markets & Federal Reserve Analyst · ForexR analyst

The Nasdaq 100 trades higher during the London and New York overlap, supported by upward technical trends. Mixed news sentiment and incoming US economic data present a neutral overall outlook.

Nasdaq 100 Stages Intraday Rebound Ahead of Wall Street Open

During the London and New York overlap, the Nasdaq 100 (US100) trades at 30669.7, up 0.76% on the day from the previous close of 30437.5. The index is currently navigating a day high of 30715.3 and a day low of 30401.6. Price action covers 313.7 points so far today, which accounts for 69% of the 14-day average true range of 457.8.

Trend and Momentum

The technical structure shows consistent momentum, as the daily, four-hour, and one-hour charts all point to an upward trend. The daily RSI sits at 63.4. While the timeframes agree on this upward direction, news sentiment leans slightly bearish, resulting in a mixed overall picture for the session.

Technical Landscape: Key Resistance Levels to Watch on the Rebound

Immediate support rests at the R1 level of 30624.5, with nearest resistance positioned at the 5-day high of 30795.1. Looking at recent trading windows, the 5-day range covers a high of 30795.1 and a low of 29355.1. The 20-day window spans a high of 30795.1 and a low of 28744.6. Yesterday's session formed a previous day high of 30537.3 and a previous day low of 30076.2. Round numbers bracket the current price action, with 30000 below and 31000 above.

Strategic Outlook: Can the Tech-Heavy Index Sustain Gains?

In a bullish scenario, pushing past the R2 trigger at 30811.4 would open a path toward the R3 target at 31085.6. Slipping back below the daily pivot at 30350.3 would invalidate this view.

In a bearish scenario, a decline below the S1 trigger at 30163.4 sets up a move toward the S2 target at 29889.2. A recovery above the daily pivot at 30350.3 negates this bearish setup.

Macro Drivers: Durable Goods and Consumer Sentiment in Focus

Today's US economic calendar features Durable Goods Orders at 12:30 UTC, carrying an estimate of -0.4 compared to a previous 1.1. This release includes the ex-transportation component with an estimate of 0.6 against a previous 0.4, Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex Aircraft estimated at 0.5, and Durable Goods Orders ex Defense which previously printed at 1.3. At 14:00 UTC, the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is expected at 47.6, following a previous 47.8. This is accompanied by the Michigan Consumer Expectations Index (previous 45.8), as well as the UoM 1-year and 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectations. The Fed's Hammack is scheduled to deliver a speech at 18:00 UTC.

Financial news coverage highlights pre-market advances for US indices despite sustained highs in Treasury yields, according to FXEmpire and Invezz. News sentiment records a 51% bearish and 49% bullish share, alongside a media mood of 100 and a bullish opportunity reading. In the bond market, US Treasury yields at the September 24 close saw the 2-year yield at 4.87%, up 2 basis points, and the 10-year yield at 5.18%, up 7 basis points. As of the week to September 15, speculators added to net long Nasdaq 100 (US100), keeping the broader futures positioning net long Nasdaq 100 (US100).

Bottom Line

The Nasdaq 100 holds above the R1 support level of 30624.5, backed by upward trends across the daily and intraday charts. However, bearish-leaning news sentiment and a heavy slate of incoming US economic data warrant a neutral stance as the New York session unfolds.