Forex Market Update: Gold, Bitcoin Lead New York Session

Gold and bitcoin are the session's clear leaders while EUR/USD and GBP/USD lag, with the dollar's broader direction mixed into the Michigan Consumer Sentiment release at 14:00 UTC.

Suspension bridge crossing in front of city skyscrapers
InstrumentLastDay changePivotDaily trend
EUR/USD1.11980 -0.10% 1.12021Down
Gold (XAU/USD)4,180.84 +1.15% 4,127.53Down
GBP/USD1.32119 -0.11% 1.32193Down
Bitcoin (BTC/USD)82,992.83 +1.52% 81,845.40Mixed
USD/JPY158.230 +0.23% 157.905Mixed
AUD/USD0.69719 +0.24% 0.69530Down
USD/CAD1.42817 +0.41% 1.42387Up
Ethereum (ETH/USD)2,494.63 +0.90% 2,487.72Mixed
Nasdaq 100 (US100)30,921.0 +0.51% 30,846.7Up
WTI Crude Oil (XTI/USD)90.315 -0.27% 90.364Mixed
Data as of 2026-10-09 12:46 UTC.

New York Overlap Snapshot

Bitcoin and gold are the session's clearest leaders. Bitcoin trades at 82992.83, up 1.52% on the day, while gold sits at 4180.84, up 1.15%. Ethereum is higher by 0.9% at 2494.63 and the Nasdaq 100 is up 0.51% at 30921. In foreign exchange, USD/CAD leads with a 0.41% gain to 1.42817, AUD/USD is up 0.24% at 0.69719 and USD/JPY is up 0.23% at 158.23. EUR/USD and GBP/USD sit at the back of the pack, down 0.1% to 1.1198 and down 0.11% to 1.32119, and WTI crude is also softer, off 0.27% at 90.315.

The mix of gains and losses leaves no single read on the dollar: it is firmer against the euro, pound, yen and Canadian dollar but softer against the Australian dollar, and daily trend readings split the same way, with EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD trending down while USD/CAD trends up and USD/JPY is mixed. The currency strength meter can be used to track how that balance shifts through the rest of the session.

Session Table

InstrumentLastChange %Daily trend
EUR/USD1.1198-0.10%Down
Gold (XAU/USD)4180.84+1.15%Down
GBP/USD1.32119-0.11%Down
Bitcoin (BTC/USD)82992.83+1.52%Mixed
USD/JPY158.23+0.23%Mixed
AUD/USD0.69719+0.24%Down
USD/CAD1.42817+0.41%Up
Ethereum (ETH/USD)2494.63+0.90%Mixed
Nasdaq 100 (US100)30921+0.51%Up
WTI Crude Oil (XTI/USD)90.315-0.27%Mixed

Setups in Focus

EUR/USD is pinned between S1 at 1.11782 and the daily pivot at 1.12021, with both the daily and four-hour trends pointing down and the daily RSI at 25.6. A reclaim of the pivot at 1.12021 would open the way toward R1 at 1.12331; a slide back below S1 at 1.11782 would keep the pair aligned with the prevailing downtrend. The pivot point calculator breaks down how those levels are built for the day.

Gold has already cleared R1 at 4151.77 and trades beyond the top of today's pivot ladder, even though the daily trend reading is still down and the four-hour trend is mixed. That leaves the pivot at 4127.53 and S1 at 4109.17 as the nearest reference points should the advance from 4180.84 fade.

Bitcoin sits between the daily pivot at 81845.4 and R1 at 83375.58, with the four-hour trend down even as the daily reading is mixed. A move through R1 at 83375.58 would extend the day's advance; a drop back under the pivot at 81845.4 would mark a stall that fits with the shorter-term downtrend still in place underneath.

Yields and the Newsflow

US Treasury yields eased into the October 8, 2026 close versus the prior session, with the 2-year at 4.75%, down 2 basis points, and the 10-year at 5.22%, down 6 basis points; the 2s10s curve stands at 47 basis points.

Coverage from Forex.com and FX Street through the morning centered on retreating Treasury yields and firmer risk appetite alongside gold's push back toward the 4,200 area, while separate FX Street reporting on the euro pointed to a more guarded view of its recovery prospects. None of that newsflow offers a confirmed reason for today's price action, only the themes running through the wires.

Calendar Ahead

ECB board member Isabel Schnabel is due to speak today at 13:30 UTC, a medium-impact event for the euro. The bigger cluster lands at 14:00 UTC today with the high-impact Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, estimated at 47.6 against a previous reading of 48.1, alongside the medium-impact Michigan Consumer Expectations Index (previous 46.3), the UoM 5-year inflation expectation (previous 3.4) and the UoM 1-year inflation expectation (previous 4.6). The economic calendar guide explains how to read estimate-versus-previous comparisons like these. London trading runs until it closes at 16:00 UTC.

Bottom Line

Risk assets are doing the leading this session, with gold and bitcoin both up more than a percent while the Nasdaq 100 and Ethereum also advance. The dollar itself offers no unified signal, trading firmer against the euro, pound, yen and Canadian dollar but softer against the Australian dollar, which keeps the broader bias neutral into the Michigan Consumer Sentiment release at 14:00 UTC. For EUR/USD specifically, the pivot at 1.12021 and S1 at 1.11782 bracket a market already sitting inside a downtrend on both the daily and four-hour charts, and the risk and reward calculator can help frame either side of that range mechanically rather than directionally.

FAQ

How is the Michigan Consumer Sentiment index expected to impact the US dollar today?

The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is due at 14:00 UTC today, with an estimate of 47.6 versus a previous reading of 48.1. The actual figure hasn't been released yet, so any dollar reaction will depend on how the real number compares with that estimate once it prints.

Why are gold and bitcoin rising during today's New York session?

Gold is up 1.15% at 4180.84 and bitcoin is up 1.52% at 82992.83 during the London and New York overlap. Coverage from Forex.com and FX Street has tied the broader bounce in risk assets to retreating Treasury yields, though that reporting describes market mood rather than a confirmed cause of the move.

What are the key support and resistance areas for EUR/USD today?

EUR/USD last traded at 1.1198, between S1 at 1.11782 and the daily pivot at 1.12021, with R1 up at 1.12331. Both the daily and four-hour trends are down, and the daily RSI reading of 25.6 reflects that weakness.

Is the US dollar trending in one direction this session?

Not uniformly. The dollar is firmer against the euro, pound, yen and Canadian dollar today but softer against the Australian dollar, and daily trend readings are split the same way across those pairs, which keeps the overall dollar picture neutral.

More Analysis

WTI Crude Oil (XTI/USD)NeutralWTI Crude Oil Holds Near $90 as Daily Pivot Caps the BounceWTI Crude Oil is changing hands near $90, down on the day and sitting between S1 at 88.32 and the daily pivot at 90.364, with daily, H4 and H1 trends all reading mixed ahead of US consumer sentiment data.Elena MarquezNasdaq 100 (US100)NeutralNasdaq 100 Holds Below R1 Ahead of Michigan Sentiment DataUS100 is up 0.65% on the day and sitting between the daily pivot and R1, but daily, H4 and H1 trends don't fully agree, keeping the near-term picture balanced into today's Michigan sentiment data.Nathan BrooksSession briefNeutralGold Price Forecast Today: Breakout Above Resistance in LondonGold has cleared R1 at 4151.77 to lead the London session higher, while EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD post small gains against a dollar whose daily trend still points lower.Claire DuboisEthereum (ETH/USD)NeutralEthereum (ETH/USD) Forecast Today: Pivot Holds, Trends SplitEther trades near $2,495 in the London session, holding above the daily pivot at 2487.72 with R1 at 2570.84 overhead; daily, four-hour and one-hour trends disagree, keeping the near-term bias neutral.Marcus ReedUSD/CADNeutralUSD/CAD Forecast Today: Range Holds Near 1.4217USD/CAD is consolidating between S1 at 1.42007 and the daily pivot at 1.42387, with trend signals split across timeframes ahead of Canadian jobs data and US consumer sentiment figures.Nathan BrooksAUD/USDNeutralAUD/USD Holds Above 0.6950 Pivot Ahead of Michigan DataAUD/USD trades near 0.6978, up 0.33% on the day, with the daily trend down but the one-hour trend up ahead of today's Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index at 14:00 UTC.Daniel Tan

Trade Your View With a Regulated Broker

Compare regulated brokers on spreads, platforms and minimum deposit.

Compare top brokers