This indicator measures the chart symbol’s percentage change from the opening price at the start of each US presidential term and plots those values as histogram columns in a separate pane. Columns are offset so each administration appears separately, with a s
Indicator · Pine Script v6 · Own pane
Advanced Fed Decision Forecast Model (AFDFM)
This indicator calculates a multi-factor Federal Reserve monetary policy forecast to estimate the likelihood of interest rate hikes, pauses, or cuts.
GitHub stars2on the repository
Pine versionv6current
Lines of code782
Settings31inputs
LicenceNone stated
Last update8 months ago25 Feb 2026
Add It to Your TradingView Chart
- 1Copy the scriptPress Copy script above. It reads the file straight from GitHub.
- 2Open the Pine EditorOpen a TradingView chart and choose Pine Editor at the bottom of the screen.
- 3Paste over the templateCreate a new indicator, select all of the template text and paste. Press Save and give it a name.
- 4Add it to the chartPress Add to chart, then adjust the settings with the gear icon next to its name.
Source Code
The code stays on GitHub. The author has not published this script under an open licence, so ForexR does not show its code. Copy script reads the file straight from GitHub into your clipboard, so you can still try it on your own chart. Ask the author before reusing the code anywhere else.
Overview
Advanced Fed Decision Forecast Model (AFDFM) evaluates economic inputs including the Taylor Rule, employment conditions, financial conditions, inflation expectations, and growth momentum. Plotted in a separate pane, the script displays a smoothed forecast line, uncertainty bands, threshold levels, and an on-screen analytics dashboard. Users can toggle model complexity, customize component weighting, adjust Taylor Rule parameters (alpha, beta, inflation target, and neutral rate), and modify lookback periods.
- Multi-factor Fed monetary policy decision model
- Taylor Rule implementation with adjustable parameters
- Regime detection with Hawkish and Dovish thresholds
- Dynamic uncertainty confidence bands
- Analytics dashboard with component breakdown
Details
Published by
regalouisei on GitHub
Type
Indicator, Pine Script v6
Draws
Separate pane below the chart
Category
Screeners & dashboards
Markets
Any symbol
Timeframes
H4 and above
Risk Notes
No repainting, lookahead or stacked entries were found in its code or README. That says nothing about how well it works: test it first.
Settings
The inputs you can change from the gear icon on the chart. Defaults are the author's.
| Setting | Type | Default | Variable |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model Complexity | string | Advanced | model_complexity |
| Hawkish Interpretation Mode | bool | false | hawkish_interpretation |
| Historical Lookback (Trading Days) | int | 252 | lookback_period |
| Signal Smoothing Period | int | 21 | smoothing_length |
| Confidence Band Period | int | 55 | confidence_period |
| Regime-Dependent Analysis | bool | true | enable_regime_thresholds |
| Crisis Regime Sensitivity | float | 1.5 | crisis_sensitivity |
| Taylor Rule Alpha (Inflation Weight) | float | 0.5 | taylor_alpha |
| Taylor Rule Beta (Output Gap Weight) | float | 0.5 | taylor_beta |
| Inflation Target (%) | float | 2.0 | inflation_target |
| Neutral Real Rate (%) | float | 2.5 | neutral_rate |
| Hawkish Threshold | float | 2.0 | hawkish_threshold |
Show all 31 settings
| Setting | Type | Default | Variable |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dovish Threshold | float | -2.0 | dovish_threshold |
| Enable Custom Weights | bool | false | enable_custom_weights |
| Taylor Rule (%) | float | 25.0 | custom_taylor |
| Employment Conditions (%) | float | 20.0 | custom_employment |
| Financial Conditions (%) | float | 18.0 | custom_financial |
| Inflation Expectations (%) | float | 15.0 | custom_inflation_exp |
| Growth Momentum (%) | float | 12.0 | custom_growth |
| Liquidity Conditions (%) | float | 10.0 | custom_liquidity |
| Show Component Breakdown | bool | false | show_components |
| Show Policy Regime | bool | true | show_regime_detection |
| Show Uncertainty Bands | bool | true | show_confidence_bands |
| Show Research Levels | bool | true | show_research_levels |
| Show Analytics Dashboard | bool | true | show_dashboard |
| Show Signal Background | bool | true | show_dynamic_background |
| Background Intensity (%) | int | 95 | background_intensity |
| Color Theme | string | EdgeTools | color_scheme |
| Optimize for Dark Theme | bool | true | use_dark_mode |
| Main Line Width | int | 3 | main_line_width |
| Enable Professional Alerts | bool | false | enable_alerts |
Third-party code. ForexR did not write, test or endorse this script, and the summary above was generated automatically from its code and README. Indicators describe the past, and a strategy's backtest can look better than live trading, especially when a script repaints. Check it in the Strategy Tester and on a demo account before you rely on it.
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